ACTA UNIVERSITATIS APULENSIS No 16/2008 RISK MANAGEMENT USING VAR SIMULATION WITH APPLICATIONS TO BUCHAREST STOCK EXCHANGE

نویسنده

  • Alin V. Roşca
چکیده

In a recent paper, we have proposed and analyzed, from a theoretical point of view, a multidimensional stock market model (see [?]). In this paper, we construct a portfolio of stocks for a particular case of this market model. We introduce the Value at Risk, as a powerful tool for managing risks, which follow from holding such a portfolio. We present a mathematical calculation of Value at Risk for our market model. Using this mathematical framework, we develop Monte Carlo, Quasi-Monte Carlo and Mixed Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo algorithms for the estimation of Value at Risk. We apply the developed methods to portfolios from Bucharest Stock Exchange. 2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 11K36, 65C05, 91B28, 91B30, 91B70.

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تاریخ انتشار 2008